Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 133.712978 152.507639 173.331753 198.172764 227.073215 259.723744 299.528622
2025-12-21 108.105083 132.770364 162.458177 201.047874 250.208614 311.174472 393.174468
2025-12-28 95.427675 123.588065 159.573447 209.396528 277.320399 367.738058 498.973155
2026-01-04 85.231004 115.142875 155.242719 213.677831 297.903373 416.828646 600.915019
2026-01-11 75.625245 105.803734 147.908478 211.965988 308.772471 452.570896 688.002378
2026-01-18 69.872199 100.916790 145.839239 216.953890 329.269318 504.252586 806.453135
2026-01-25 63.749010 94.658935 140.835220 216.538948 340.877972 543.055023 909.539186
2026-02-01 59.217967 90.224729 137.944387 218.796293 356.611838 590.046979 1033.442333
2026-02-08 53.964077 84.084095 131.659630 214.635236 360.797851 617.569066 1126.282449
2026-02-15 50.579886 80.565560 129.157439 216.373740 375.131355 664.448591 1262.687670
2026-02-22 47.685670 77.549133 127.129643 218.585499 390.376711 714.726072 1413.926913
2026-03-01 43.823948 72.547530 121.238130 213.197050 390.715633 736.416419 1509.530861
2026-03-08 40.454787 68.390222 116.925407 211.201976 399.244781 779.367900 1668.313260
2026-03-15 38.089194 65.808930 115.220387 214.066078 418.143676 847.382847 1900.537428
2026-03-22 36.785867 64.986285 116.592802 223.011135 450.738784 950.045111 2238.933239
2026-03-29 35.043743 63.165794 115.870069 227.605234 474.716246 1037.789583 2562.070779
2026-04-05 32.725599 60.029038 112.275323 225.767878 484.178538 1093.533321 2815.144901
2026-04-12 31.412742 58.701413 112.089277 231.121714 510.775132 1195.200003 3221.572130
2026-04-19 29.622589 56.265343 109.414992 230.676290 523.618398 1264.839417 3554.238292
2026-04-26 28.264022 54.572414 108.097168 233.099554 543.787945 1357.256838 3982.470094
2026-05-03 26.403841 51.692168 104.005862 228.632819 546.016549 1401.850889 4271.067269
2026-05-10 25.239686 50.163232 102.667041 230.498947 564.878320 1496.428929 4755.278404
2026-05-17 24.203205 48.815892 101.594231 232.873256 585.476715 1600.183814 5304.878491